Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1939 |
SWE
4 - 1
DEN
69%
16%
16%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
DEN
8 - 1
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
0 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
6 - 3
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
5 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
NOR
2 - 3
SWE
54%
20%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1939 |
FIN
1 - 2
NOR
44%
20%
36%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
0 - 4
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
6 - 3
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWE
55%
19%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |