Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
19%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
5 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
DEN
77%
14%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1938 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
41%
21%
38%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWE
55%
19%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1939 |
SWE
3 - 2
NOR
70%
15%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1938 |
ENG
4 - 0
NOR
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
POL
2 - 2
NOR
53%
20%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1938 |
SWE
2 - 3
NOR
69%
15%
16%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |