Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.6%
17.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1937 |
GER
8 - 0
DEN
66%
17%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
DEN
2 - 1
POL
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1936 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
49%
21%
31%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
DEN
4 - 3
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1937 |
NOR
1 - 3
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1937 |
NOR
0 - 6
ENG
42%
21%
37%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
NED
3 - 3
NOR
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
3 - 3
DEN
56%
20%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1936 |
NOR
0 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |