Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
16.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 1
SCO
89%
7%
4%
|
79 | 8 | 71 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1932 |
FIN
4 - 2
DEN
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
DEN
3 - 4
BEL
72%
15%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1933 |
NOR
1 - 2
WAL
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1932 |
SWE
1 - 4
NOR
76%
13%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1932 |
NOR
2 - 1
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1932 |
NOR
3 - 0
EST
71%
16%
14%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |