Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
10.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 2
DEN
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1928 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1928 |
GER
2 - 1
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1928 |
NOR
2 - 3
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1928 |
NED
2 - 0
DEN
58%
20%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1929 |
NOR
4 - 0
FIN
66%
17%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1929 |
NOR
4 - 4
NED
40%
22%
37%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1929 |
NOR
3 - 7
SCO
36%
24%
40%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1928 |
NOR
0 - 2
GER
43%
22%
35%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1928 |
NOR
2 - 3
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |