Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
8%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1919 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1918 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
48%
22%
30%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1918 |
DEN
4 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1918 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
23%
23%
54%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1918 |
DEN
3 - 0
SWE
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1918 |
DEN
4 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1918 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1918 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
23%
23%
54%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | +2 |
| 26 May. 1918 |
SWE
2 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1917 |
DEN
12 - 0
NOR
83%
11%
6%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |