Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1917 |
DEN
1 - 1
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1917 |
NOR
0 - 2
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1917 |
SWE
3 - 3
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1917 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1916 |
DEN
8 - 0
NOR
82%
11%
7%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |