Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1916 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1916 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1915 |
SWE
0 - 2
DEN
52%
21%
27%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1915 |
DEN
8 - 1
NOR
80%
12%
8%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 0
SWE
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1916 |
NOR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1916 |
SWE
6 - 0
NOR
79%
12%
9%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 1916 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
29%
24%
48%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1915 |
SWE
5 - 2
NOR
78%
13%
9%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |