Denmark vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
14.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
ENG
3 - 0
DEN
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1910 |
DEN
2 - 1
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1908 |
GBR
2 - 0
DEN
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1908 |
DEN
17 - 1
FRA
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 1908 |
DEN
9 - 0
FRA
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1912 |
NOR
0 - 6
HUN
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1912 |
NOR
1 - 2
SWE
57%
20%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1911 |
SWE
4 - 1
NOR
59%
19%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1910 |
NOR
0 - 4
SWE
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 1908 |
SWE
11 - 3
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |