Denmark vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
3 - 0
DEN
64%
19%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1969 |
SUR
2 - 1
DEN
26%
20%
54%
|
74 | 39 | 35 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1969 |
BMU
1 - 5
DEN
26%
20%
54%
|
74 | 37 | 37 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
DEN
5 - 1
LUX
76%
13%
11%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
CSK
1 - 0
DEN
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1969 |
SWE
1 - 0
MEX
70%
17%
13%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1969 |
ESP
0 - 0
MEX
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1969 |
BEL
2 - 0
MEX
55%
22%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1969 |
LUX
2 - 1
MEX
27%
21%
53%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
POR
0 - 0
MEX
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |