Denmark vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
BRD
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
SWE
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 0
SCO
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 2
BEL
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
POR
5 - 0
DEN
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1970 |
IND
1 - 0
JPN
35%
23%
42%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1970 |
KOR
2 - 1
JPN
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1970 |
JPN
1 - 0
IND
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1970 |
JPN
2 - 1
IDN
62%
18%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1970 |
JPN
2 - 1
MMR
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |