Denmark vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
47.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1981 |
LUX
1 - 2
DEN
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
ROU
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
DEN
4 - 0
LUX
85%
10%
4%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
ITA
2 - 0
DEN
81%
14%
5%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
ITA
0 - 0
DDR
60%
23%
16%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1981 |
ITA
0 - 3
FIF
87%
10%
3%
|
92 | 11 | 81 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1981 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
40%
27%
33%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1981 |
URU
2 - 0
ITA
22%
28%
51%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1980 |
GRC
0 - 2
ITA
19%
26%
55%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |