Denmark vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
NIR
2 - 1
DEN
19%
26%
55%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
DEN
3 - 1
LVA
83%
13%
4%
|
93 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
DEN
1 - 3
ESP
31%
26%
42%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
DEN
4 - 0
LIE
86%
11%
3%
|
93 | 22 | 71 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
45%
26%
29%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
LIE
3 - 0
ISL
14%
20%
67%
|
79 | 21 | 58 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ISL
2 - 4
LVA
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
ESP
11%
21%
68%
|
79 | 98 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |