Denmark vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
DEN
1 - 2
ESP
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1974 |
DEN
9 - 0
IDN
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 1974 |
FIN
1 - 1
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1974 |
DEN
0 - 2
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
TOG
0 - 2
DEN
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
ISL
0 - 2
BEL
22%
22%
57%
|
49 | 83 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1974 |
ISL
2 - 2
FIN
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1973 |
ISL
1 - 8
NED
21%
21%
58%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1973 |
NED
5 - 0
ISL
84%
10%
6%
|
49 | 80 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1973 |
ISL
0 - 4
NOR
47%
21%
32%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -2 |