Denmark vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
15.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 1959 |
DEN
2 - 1
NOR
71%
16%
14%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1959 |
ISL
2 - 4
DEN
39%
21%
40%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1959 |
DEN
0 - 6
SWE
30%
22%
48%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
SWE
4 - 4
DEN
85%
9%
5%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1958 |
NED
5 - 1
DEN
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 1959 |
ISL
1 - 0
NOR
57%
19%
25%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1959 |
ISL
2 - 4
DEN
39%
21%
40%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1957 |
ISL
2 - 5
BEL
38%
20%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
ISL
1 - 5
FRA
39%
22%
39%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 1957 |
ISL
2 - 6
DEN
41%
21%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |