Denmark vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14%
5.5%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
KAZ
3 - 2
DEN
7%
17%
77%
|
90 | 62 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
DEN
3 - 1
FIN
76%
16%
8%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
AUS
1 - 0
DEN
31%
24%
45%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 1
DEN
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
DEN
0 - 0
TUN
75%
17%
9%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
NIR
0 - 1
FIN
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SMR
0 - 2
NIR
9%
19%
72%
|
78 | 18 | 60 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
GRC
3 - 1
NIR
58%
24%
17%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
NIR
2 - 1
XXK
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NIR
2 - 2
CYP
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |