Denmark vs Iran analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
ITA
2 - 3
DEN
65%
22%
13%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
DEN
2 - 1
SUI
63%
22%
16%
|
92 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
DEN
0 - 0
NED
32%
26%
42%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
WAL
0 - 2
DEN
27%
30%
43%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
DEN
1 - 0
BLR
93%
6%
2%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Iran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
JPN
1 - 1
IRN
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
GTM
2 - 2
IRN
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
CAN
0 - 1
IRN
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1999 |
ECU
1 - 1
IRN
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
CHN
1 - 0
IRN
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |