Denmark vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
58.7%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 1
NOR
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1966 |
DEN
1 - 3
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1966 |
DEN
0 - 0
TUR
69%
17%
15%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1965 |
WAL
4 - 2
DEN
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1965 |
DEN
1 - 1
GRC
67%
16%
17%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1966 |
NOR
1 - 6
ENG
18%
20%
62%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
0 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
60%
|
89 | 51 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
SCO
3 - 4
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |