Denmark vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
40.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
5 - 3
GBR
74%
14%
12%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
2 - 4
SWE
52%
20%
28%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
5 - 3
ITA
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
DEN
3 - 1
EGY
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 1948 |
DEN
8 - 0
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1948 |
ITA
0 - 4
ENG
61%
18%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1948 |
SCO
0 - 2
ENG
36%
22%
43%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1947 |
ENG
4 - 2
SWE
68%
16%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1947 |
ENG
2 - 2
NIR
86%
9%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1947 |
WAL
0 - 3
ENG
29%
20%
51%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |