Denmark vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
27.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1914 |
DEN
4 - 3
NED
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1913 |
GER
1 - 4
DEN
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1913 |
SWE
0 - 10
DEN
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1913 |
DEN
8 - 0
SWE
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1912 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1914 |
SCO
3 - 1
ENG
36%
24%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1914 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
22%
22%
56%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1914 |
ENG
0 - 3
INE
88%
8%
4%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1912 |
SCO
1 - 1
ENG
32%
23%
45%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1912 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
17%
20%
63%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |