Denmark vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.7%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.1%
17.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1948 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
80%
11%
9%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
DEN
0 - 0
ENG
40%
20%
40%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
5 - 3
GBR
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
2 - 4
SWE
52%
20%
28%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1948 |
DEN
5 - 3
ITA
43%
22%
35%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
NED
3 - 3
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
39%
21%
41%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
GBR
4 - 3
NED
44%
21%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1948 |
NED
3 - 1
IRL
70%
16%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |