Denmark vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18%
21.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1938 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
41%
21%
38%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1938 |
DEN
0 - 1
SWE
61%
18%
21%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1937 |
DEN
2 - 1
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1937 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
71%
15%
14%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1938 |
CSK
3 - 0
NED
59%
19%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1938 |
NED
1 - 3
SCO
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
35%
21%
44%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
NED
7 - 2
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1937 |
NED
4 - 0
LUX
81%
11%
8%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |