Denmark vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
14.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1931 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1930 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 3
GER
65%
18%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 1
SWE
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1930 |
FIN
1 - 6
DEN
39%
23%
38%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
BEL
4 - 2
NED
50%
21%
29%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
NED
1 - 1
GER
53%
21%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
NED
3 - 2
BEL
62%
19%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1930 |
SUI
6 - 3
NED
39%
22%
39%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 1930 |
HUN
6 - 2
NED
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |