Denmark vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
25.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1913 |
GER
1 - 4
DEN
47%
23%
31%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1913 |
SWE
0 - 10
DEN
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1913 |
DEN
8 - 0
SWE
65%
18%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1912 |
DEN
3 - 1
GER
64%
18%
18%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
GBR
4 - 2
DEN
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 2
BEL
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1914 |
NED
4 - 4
GER
77%
13%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1914 |
BEL
2 - 4
NED
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1913 |
NED
2 - 4
BEL
70%
16%
14%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1913 |
BEL
3 - 3
NED
52%
21%
28%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |