Denmark vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16%
17.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 0
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
BGR
2 - 1
DEN
51%
21%
27%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1959 |
GRC
1 - 3
DEN
38%
21%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CSK
5 - 1
DEN
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
DEN
4 - 0
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1960 |
GRC
0 - 5
YUG
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
GRC
2 - 1
ISR
47%
21%
33%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1960 |
ISR
2 - 1
GRC
55%
19%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1959 |
GRC
1 - 3
DEN
38%
21%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
YUG
4 - 0
GRC
83%
11%
7%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |