Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
3.34
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.1%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
DEN
3 - 1
HUN
33%
26%
41%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1983 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
79%
13%
8%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
DEN
1 - 2
DDR
35%
27%
37%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
DEN
1 - 0
GRC
74%
15%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1982 |
LUX
1 - 2
DEN
13%
22%
65%
|
80 | 39 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
SUN
19%
26%
55%
|
59 | 92 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 1
DDR
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1983 |
FIN
0 - 4
POL
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1983 |
POL
1 - 1
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1983 |
DDR
3 - 1
FIN
85%
12%
4%
|
59 | 90 | 31 | 0 |