Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
ALE
1 - 3
DEN
23%
20%
56%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1971 |
DEN
3 - 2
ENG
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 16 | 56 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1971 |
DEN
3 - 2
JPN
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
BRD
31%
27%
43%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
SWE
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1971 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
47%
23%
31%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 4
CSK
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
FIN
0 - 1
WAL
42%
24%
34%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1971 |
SWE
4 - 1
FIN
84%
11%
5%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
ROU
3 - 0
FIN
75%
15%
10%
|
52 | 80 | 28 | -1 |