Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
ITA
3 - 1
DEN
79%
13%
8%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1964 |
ISR
0 - 1
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
GRC
4 - 2
DEN
35%
21%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
DEN
1 - 0
WAL
64%
18%
18%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1964 |
DEN
2 - 0
NOR
74%
14%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1965 |
FIN
1 - 2
SCO
26%
21%
53%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ITA
6 - 1
FIN
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 88 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 1
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
31%
21%
47%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
ISL
0 - 2
FIN
81%
11%
7%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |