Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.8%
Win probability
3.61
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
2.9%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8%
4.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1963 |
HUN
6 - 0
DEN
87%
8%
4%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1962 |
TUR
1 - 1
DEN
45%
23%
33%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1962 |
MLT
1 - 3
DEN
31%
21%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1962 |
SWE
4 - 2
DEN
80%
12%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1962 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
68%
16%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
FIN
1 - 6
DEN
31%
22%
47%
|
42 | 77 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1962 |
NOR
2 - 1
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1962 |
FIN
0 - 3
SWE
28%
21%
51%
|
42 | 86 | 44 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BGR
3 - 1
FIN
81%
12%
7%
|
43 | 74 | 31 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
DEN
9 - 1
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
43 | 77 | 34 | 0 |