Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.2%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
9.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1961 |
GER
5 - 1
DEN
73%
15%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
NOR
0 - 4
DEN
40%
23%
37%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 2
SWE
34%
22%
45%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
DEN
1 - 1
DDR
84%
10%
7%
|
78 | 33 | 45 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1960 |
SWE
2 - 0
DEN
82%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
FRA
5 - 1
FIN
87%
8%
4%
|
43 | 80 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1961 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 87 | 44 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
4 - 1
NOR
37%
21%
42%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
41 | 74 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
DDR
5 - 1
FIN
24%
22%
55%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -3 |