Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.7%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
6.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
0 - 2
GER
54%
20%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
6 - 3
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
5 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
DEN
77%
14%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1939 |
FIN
1 - 2
NOR
44%
20%
36%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1939 |
FIN
4 - 2
EST
75%
14%
12%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 1939 |
FIN
2 - 3
ITA
37%
23%
40%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
5 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1939 |
SWE
5 - 1
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |