Denmark vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13%
8.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
DEN
2 - 5
NOR
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 2
DEN
66%
17%
16%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1928 |
DEN
3 - 1
SWE
54%
20%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1928 |
GER
2 - 1
DEN
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 1928 |
NOR
2 - 3
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1929 |
FIN
3 - 1
LVA
57%
20%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1929 |
FIN
2 - 1
EST
58%
20%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 1929 |
EST
1 - 1
FIN
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1929 |
NOR
4 - 0
FIN
66%
17%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |