Denmark vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1980 |
SWE
0 - 1
DEN
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1979 |
ESP
1 - 3
DEN
78%
16%
6%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
BGR
3 - 0
DEN
58%
21%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
DEN
1 - 0
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1980 |
ESP
2 - 2
CSK
54%
26%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
ESP
0 - 1
DDR
55%
25%
20%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1980 |
ESP
1 - 0
NED
53%
25%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1979 |
CYP
1 - 3
ESP
25%
27%
48%
|
89 | 55 | 34 | 0 |