Denmark vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
35.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1974 |
DEN
9 - 0
IDN
65%
18%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1974 |
FIN
1 - 1
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1974 |
DEN
0 - 2
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
TOG
0 - 2
DEN
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1973 |
FRA
3 - 0
DEN
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1974 |
ESP
1 - 0
GER
54%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ESP
57%
24%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1973 |
GER
2 - 1
ESP
62%
22%
16%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1973 |
YUG
0 - 0
ESP
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1973 |
TUR
0 - 0
ESP
29%
28%
44%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |