Denmark vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.9%
13.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
DEN
2 - 3
FIN
81%
12%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1931 |
GER
4 - 2
DEN
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1931 |
SWE
3 - 1
DEN
64%
18%
18%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1931 |
DEN
0 - 2
NED
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1931 |
DEN
3 - 1
NOR
73%
15%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1932 |
BEL
5 - 2
FRA
66%
16%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1932 |
NED
2 - 1
BEL
64%
18%
18%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1932 |
BEL
1 - 4
NED
50%
20%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1931 |
BEL
2 - 1
SUI
72%
15%
13%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1931 |
BEL
2 - 1
POL
51%
21%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |