Denmark vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20%
29.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1951 |
SCO
3 - 1
DEN
62%
19%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 1
DEN
73%
15%
13%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
SWE
4 - 0
DEN
80%
11%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1950 |
DEN
1 - 4
YUG
67%
16%
16%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1950 |
FIN
1 - 2
DEN
36%
22%
42%
|
80 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1951 |
AUT
4 - 0
SCO
65%
17%
18%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1950 |
SCO
0 - 1
AUT
50%
21%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 1
DEN
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
HUN
4 - 3
AUT
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
AUT
7 - 2
YUG
70%
16%
15%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |