Denmark vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
LVA
0 - 0
DEN
18%
25%
57%
|
90 | 68 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1992 |
DEN
2 - 0
GER
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1992 |
NED
2 - 2
DEN
60%
24%
16%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1992 |
FRA
1 - 2
DEN
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
SWE
1 - 0
DEN
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1992 |
DEN
2 - 0
GER
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1992 |
SWE
2 - 3
GER
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1992 |
NED
3 - 1
GER
66%
22%
12%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1992 |
SCO
0 - 2
GER
58%
25%
17%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1992 |
SUN
1 - 1
GER
71%
19%
10%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |