Denmark vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
FIN
1 - 4
DEN
40%
22%
38%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOR
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
DEN
3 - 2
POL
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 May. 1958 |
DEN
3 - 2
ANT
83%
10%
7%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
DEN
3 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 47 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1958 |
GER
2 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1958 |
BEL
0 - 2
GER
42%
22%
36%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1957 |
GER
1 - 0
HUN
27%
20%
53%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1957 |
GER
1 - 0
SWE
58%
19%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1957 |
GER
1 - 3
SCO
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |