Denmark vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
26.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
6 - 3
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1939 |
DEN
5 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
DEN
77%
14%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1938 |
DEN
2 - 2
NED
60%
18%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1938 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEN
59%
19%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1939 |
NOR
0 - 4
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1939 |
GER
1 - 1
IRL
75%
14%
11%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
ITA
3 - 2
GER
68%
16%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1939 |
LUX
2 - 1
GER
27%
21%
52%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
GER
3 - 2
YUG
80%
12%
8%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |