Denmark vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
17.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 1930 |
DEN
6 - 1
SWE
56%
20%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1930 |
FIN
1 - 6
DEN
39%
23%
38%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
DEN
8 - 0
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
DEN
2 - 5
NOR
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 1929 |
SWE
3 - 2
DEN
66%
17%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1930 |
GER
3 - 3
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1930 |
SUI
0 - 5
GER
39%
23%
38%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1930 |
GER
0 - 2
ITA
54%
21%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
GER
4 - 0
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1929 |
GER
3 - 0
SWE
46%
22%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |