Denmark vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1927 |
SWE
0 - 0
DEN
63%
19%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1927 |
DEN
1 - 1
NED
60%
19%
21%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1927 |
NOR
0 - 1
DEN
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1926 |
DEN
2 - 0
SWE
55%
20%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1926 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1926 |
GER
2 - 3
SUI
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
NED
2 - 3
GER
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1926 |
GER
3 - 3
SWE
41%
23%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1926 |
GER
4 - 2
NED
39%
24%
38%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1925 |
SUI
0 - 4
GER
58%
20%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +2 |