Denmark vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 1912 |
GBR
4 - 2
DEN
43%
23%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1912 |
DEN
4 - 1
NED
46%
22%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 1912 |
DEN
7 - 0
NOR
69%
17%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1911 |
ENG
3 - 0
DEN
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1910 |
DEN
2 - 1
ENG
41%
22%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 1912 |
GER
16 - 0
RUS
53%
21%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1912 |
GER
1 - 5
AUT
63%
19%
19%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1912 |
SUI
1 - 2
GER
56%
20%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1912 |
HUN
4 - 4
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1912 |
NED
5 - 5
GER
76%
13%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |