Denmark vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
JOR
0 - 1
DEN
2%
17%
82%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
DDR
0 - 1
DEN
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1986 |
DEN
1 - 5
ESP
58%
21%
21%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1986 |
DEN
2 - 0
BRD
42%
23%
35%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1986 |
DEN
6 - 1
URU
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1986 |
ARG
3 - 2
BRD
46%
24%
31%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1986 |
FRA
0 - 2
BRD
49%
23%
28%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1986 |
MEX
0 - 0
BRD
37%
25%
38%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1986 |
MAR
0 - 1
BRD
24%
24%
52%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1986 |
DEN
2 - 0
BRD
42%
23%
35%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | -1 |