Denmark vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
42.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 3
SWE
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 0
SCO
28%
24%
48%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1971 |
DEN
1 - 2
BEL
40%
23%
38%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
POR
5 - 0
DEN
62%
20%
18%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1971 |
DEN
4 - 0
SUI
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1971 |
SWE
1 - 0
BRD
52%
24%
24%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 7
BRD
29%
27%
44%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1971 |
BRD
2 - 0
ALB
85%
11%
5%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1971 |
TUR
0 - 3
BRD
27%
28%
46%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1971 |
ALB
0 - 1
BRD
23%
26%
51%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | +1 |