Denmark vs Indonesia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1974 |
FIN
1 - 1
DEN
39%
24%
37%
|
74 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1974 |
DEN
0 - 2
SWE
34%
26%
40%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
TOG
0 - 2
DEN
24%
21%
55%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1973 |
FRA
3 - 0
DEN
61%
20%
20%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1973 |
DEN
2 - 2
HUN
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Indonesia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 1974 |
IDN
4 - 2
IND
66%
18%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1974 |
SGP
0 - 5
IDN
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1974 |
THA
2 - 1
IDN
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1974 |
KOR
0 - 0
IDN
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1974 |
IDN
5 - 2
HKG
77%
13%
10%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |