Croatia vs Yugoslavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
50.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 0
IRL
56%
22%
22%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 1
MLT
96%
4%
1%
|
89 | 52 | 37 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
YUG
0 - 0
CRO
83%
11%
6%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
KOR
1 - 1
CRO
50%
24%
26%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 1
MEX
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Yugoslavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1999 |
MKD
2 - 4
YUG
6%
16%
78%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
YUG
3 - 1
MKD
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1999 |
IRL
2 - 1
YUG
23%
26%
51%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
YUG
0 - 0
CRO
83%
11%
6%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1999 |
YUG
4 - 1
MLT
85%
11%
4%
|
95 | 52 | 43 | 0 |