Croatia vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1992 |
CRO
3 - 0
MEX
26%
27%
48%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1992 |
AUS
0 - 0
CRO
71%
18%
12%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1992 |
AUS
3 - 1
CRO
70%
18%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1992 |
AUS
1 - 0
CRO
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1991 |
SVN
0 - 1
CRO
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1993 |
LTU
0 - 1
UKR
51%
23%
27%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1993 |
UKR
1 - 1
ISR
53%
22%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1992 |
BLR
1 - 1
UKR
47%
23%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1992 |
HUN
2 - 1
UKR
86%
10%
4%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1992 |
USA
0 - 0
UKR
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |