Croatia vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1944 |
CRO
7 - 3
SVK
69%
16%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1943 |
SVK
1 - 3
CRO
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1943 |
CRO
1 - 0
SVK
68%
17%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1942 |
GER
5 - 1
CRO
77%
13%
10%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1942 |
ROU
2 - 2
CRO
48%
22%
30%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
ROU
0 - 3
BGR
64%
23%
14%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1990 |
ROU
2 - 1
POL
48%
27%
26%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
SCO
2 - 1
ROU
47%
28%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1990 |
SUN
1 - 2
ROU
65%
22%
13%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1990 |
IRL
0 - 0
ROU
48%
26%
25%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |