Croatia vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 1996 |
CRO
3 - 0
DEN
37%
28%
35%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1996 |
TUR
0 - 1
CRO
48%
26%
27%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
IRL
2 - 2
CRO
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
ENG
0 - 0
CRO
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1996 |
CRO
4 - 1
HUN
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
TUR
68%
21%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
DEN
1 - 1
POR
61%
22%
16%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1996 |
IRL
0 - 1
POR
45%
28%
27%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
POR
1 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
12%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1996 |
POR
1 - 2
GER
50%
25%
26%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |