Croatia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
CRO
60%
21%
19%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 1
ITA
38%
25%
37%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 2
ALB
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ESP
3 - 0
CRO
67%
18%
15%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
POR
1 - 2
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 3
POL
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
FRA
1 - 1
POL
73%
16%
11%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 3
AUT
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
POL
1 - 2
NED
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
POL
2 - 1
TUR
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |